“Oil Prices Plummet to $59 per Barrel, Posing a Major Threat to Nigeria’s Oil Revenue”
crude oil prices have dipped to $59 per barrel for the first time since February 2021. As of 12:30 WAT on Wednesday, Brent crude, the benchmark for global oil prices, fell by 5.09% to $59.62, while US West Texas Intermediate dropped by 5.54% to $56.28.
This recent decline can be traced back to President Donald Trump’s announcement on April 2, which introduced sweeping global tariffs, including a 14% levy on imports from Nigeria. The repercussions of this policy change are already being felt, with oil prices facing downward pressure.
Adding to the turmoil, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies revealed plans on April 4 to boost oil production by 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) starting in May. This decision has further fueled concerns about the stability of oil prices and their impact on Nigeria’s economy.
With current oil prices falling significantly below Nigeria’s 2025 budget benchmark of $75 per barrel, experts warn of dire consequences for the nation’s oil revenue. Jide Pratt, Chief Operating Officer of Aiona and Country Manager of Tradegrid, commented on the situation, stating, “The recent drop in oil prices means lower revenues and lower foreign reserves for Nigeria, especially with the suspension of the naira-for-crude deal.”
Pratt highlighted the increasing foreign exchange rates, which complicate the country’s monetary and fiscal policies. “The benchmark for our budget leaves a lot to be desired,” he added, noting that the country may need to pursue a supplementary budget and consider selling off assets to the private sector to stimulate economic growth amid the falling crude prices. “There can be no better time to diversify,” he urged.
In response to the challenges posed by the declining oil prices, Wale Edun, Nigeria’s Minister of Finance, acknowledged the adverse effects on the economy. He assured that efforts are underway to ramp up crude oil production and enhance non-oil revenue mobilization through the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) and Customs.
“We are also focusing on budget adjustment and prioritization where possible, along with innovative non-debt financing strategies,” Edun stated.
Nigeria’s oil production has already suffered, dropping to 1.46 million bpd in February, below the 1.5 million quota set by OPEC. This output level also falls short of the ambitious 2.1 million bpd target set by the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) for 2025.
